Yesterday’s dramatic Bank of England 1.5% rate cut was an extraordinary admission of analytical failure. The Monetary Policy Committee of orthodox economists (with Danny Blanchflower the honourable exception) is well behind the curve. While it is tiresome to beat one’s own drum, I am obliged to point out that on the 12th July I wrote a short piece for the Guardian beseeching the Bank of England not to “sacrifice the economy on the cross of inflation targeting”. Today’s numbers from the Insolvency Service reveal that more than 4,000 companies have been sacrificed. Company insolvencies have risen by 26.3% over a year ago, and by 10% over the last quarter. This represents the loss of a great deal of productive activity, and of thousands of jobs.
Archive for the ‘Central Banks’ Category
The BoE has lost control
The dagger that burst the bubble
The graph below - courtesy of the International Herald Tribune - does not look like a dagger - but a dagger is what it is when pointed at a vast bubble of credit. Unfortunately there are central banks like the Bank of England and the Bank of Hungary that have not blunted their daggers, or indeed are still sharpening the dagger.
Beyond the triple crisis: a green new deal
Open Democracy: 27th October 2008
It is a small measure of the dramatic financial meltdown of 2007-08 that leading representatives of western liberal capitalism ransacked the past for reference-points to convey its scale…
Keynes and taxpayers’ largesse
I wrote a piece on Keynes and monetary policy for the Standard, which appeared on Thursday, 23rd October, 2008. You can read it below. Today a group of monetarist economists , supported by a range of bankers, have written to the Telegraph objecting to a public works programme to help economic recovery. They are right that excessive liabilities on the government’s balance sheet could cause interest rates to rise, but government spending has a multiplier effect, and very quickly pays for itself. They seem unaware of this economic fact. There is some overlap between our views on monetary policy as an effective tool, but I disagree with their view that UK government spending has been excessive.
A debt spiral we could have avoided
24th October, 2008
The NS has published a short piece this week: “Economists simply would not accept that their model could fail“. An introductory sentence is not mine: “Who would have predicted..that prudent Gordon Brown (would) breach the EU cap on government spending?” Am writing to the NS to ask for a correction to be published.
Central Bankers Add to the Economic Malaise…
22nd October, 2008.
I am dictating this piece down the phone from Budapest in Hungary where I have just arrived to deliver a lecture to the Ybl Club. My hosts were in a state of shock on arrival because the central bank of Hungary has just raised interest rates from 8.5% to 11.5%…
The new Bretton Woods: economies of scale.
21st October, 2008
A new Bretton Woods: To save economies and the planet, we must tame markets,upsize the state, and downsize the global single market. This piece is derived loosely from the book I edited at the new economics foundation “Real World Economic Outlook” (Palgrave, 2006). The proposal for an International Clearing Agency draws on John Maynard Keynes’ proposal for an International Clearing Union, but also on additional insights by Jane D’Arista of the Financial Markets Center in the US.
Iceland, debt and Laxness, the Nobel Prize Winner
12th October, 2008.
The news that Britain’s local authorities may have lost up to a £1 billion in the collapse of Iceland’s banks beggars belief. The competence of their highly paid chief executives must surely be challenged, and powers to borrow on international capital markets curtailed.
Blinded by Dogma… in the UK Guardian
9th October, 2008. Central banks’ obsession with inflation is stopping them from tackling a far more pressing threat.
Rates: the BoE is not independent - it has a political mandate
Both the British Chancellor, Alastair Darling and the shadow Chancellor, George Osborne, have been on the radio this morning, resisting the idea that interest rates are political. Instead they have argued, vehemently, that the Bank of England is independent, and that the Bank must decide whether or not to lower interest rates.
Ann Pettifor is a political economist and author of 'The Coming First World Debt Crisis' (Palgrave, 2006) and editor of 'The Real World Economic Outlook' (Palgrave, 2003). She is a fellow of the